
Darren Elkins vs Ryan Hall
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Darren Elkins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ryan Hall carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Hall a 53% favorite over Darren Elkins in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Darren Elkins's way (45%).
Darren Elkins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1699 to 1665, a 34-point edge.
Darren Elkins finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Hall 56%.
Darren Elkins and Ryan Hall share 1 common opponent: Darrick Minner.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.