Combat Edge Intelligence

Darren Elkins vs Ryan Hall

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryan Hall
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Ryan Hall

“The Wizard”

9-2-0FeatherweightUFC

1665Good

Tale of the tape

29-12-0Record9-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
71"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Duneland Vale TudoTeam50-50 BJJ

What's at stake

Darren Elkins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ryan Hall carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Darren ElkinsNow 1699
If they win+11→ 1710
If they lose-13→ 1686
Ryan HallNow 1665
If they win+18→ 1683
If they lose-14→ 1651

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
2.38
38%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.33
52%
Strike defense
66%
2.86
Takedown avg.
0.22
35%
Takedown accuracy
9%
56%
Takedown defense
0%
1.08
Submission avg.
2.22

Trajectory

Darren ElkinsRyan Hall
165017002019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (31%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
6 (21%)
Submission
3 (33%)
14 (48%)
Decision
4 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Hall53%
Darren Elkins 47%Elo baseline: 45%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Hall a 53% favorite over Darren Elkins in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Darren Elkins's way (45%).

Darren Elkins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1699 to 1665, a 34-point edge.

Darren Elkins finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Hall 56%.

Darren Elkins and Ryan Hall share 1 common opponent: Darrick Minner.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinTKO · 2021
Darrick Minner
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021