Combat Edge Intelligence

Darren Elkins vs Ryan Hall

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryan Hall
us

Ryan Hall

“The Wizard”

9-2-0FeatherweightUFC

1666Good

Tale of the tape

29-13-0Record9-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
71"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

Darren Elkins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ryan Hall carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Darren ElkinsNow 1685
If they win+11→ 1696
If they lose-13→ 1672
Ryan HallNow 1666
If they win+17→ 1683
If they lose-15→ 1651

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
2.38
38%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.33
51%
Strike defense
66%
2.87
Takedown avg.
0.22
20%
Takedown accuracy
9%
56%
Takedown defense
0%
1.07
Submission avg.
2.22

Trajectory

Darren ElkinsRyan Hall
1650170020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (31%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
6 (21%)
Submission
3 (33%)
14 (48%)
Decision
4 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Darren Elkins and Ryan Hall within a point of even.

Darren Elkins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1666, a 19-point edge.

Darren Elkins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Darren Elkins finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Hall 56%.

Darren Elkins and Ryan Hall share 1 common opponent: Darrick Minner.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinTKO · 2021
Darrick Minner
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021