Combat Edge Intelligence

Darren Elkins vs Sheymon Moraes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-13-0Record17-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
71"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Darren ElkinsNow 1685
If they win+12→ 1697
If they lose-12→ 1673
Sheymon MoraesNow 1684
If they win+16→ 1700
If they lose-16→ 1668

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1653 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
3
38%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.64
51%
Strike defense
64%
2.87
Takedown avg.
0
20%
Takedown accuracy
0%
56%
Takedown defense
54%
1.07
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Darren ElkinsSheymon Moraes
17002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (31%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
6 (21%)
Submission
1 (6%)
14 (48%)
Decision
9 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Sheymon Moraes60%
Darren Elkins 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sheymon Moraes a 60% favorite over Darren Elkins in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Darren Elkins's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1684), separated by just 1 points.

Darren Elkins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Darren Elkins finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Sheymon Moraes 47%.

Darren Elkins and Sheymon Moraes share 1 common opponent: TJ Brown.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinSubmission · 2023
TJ Brown
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2024