Combat Edge Intelligence

Darren Elkins vs Steven Siler

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-13-0Record33-26-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'11"
71"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Duneland Vale TudoTeamFactory X

What's at stake

Darren Elkins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Steven Siler carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Darren ElkinsNow 1685
If they win+8→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1669
Steven SilerNow 1564
If they win+16→ 1580
If they lose-8→ 1556

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
3.21
38%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.96
51%
Strike defense
55%
2.87
Takedown avg.
0.47
20%
Takedown accuracy
21%
56%
Takedown defense
55%
1.07
Submission avg.
1.58

Trajectory

Darren ElkinsSteven Siler
155016001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (31%)
KO/TKO
6 (19%)
6 (21%)
Submission
18 (56%)
14 (48%)
Decision
8 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Darren Elkins69%
Steven Siler 31%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Darren Elkins a 69% favorite over Steven Siler in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Darren Elkins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1564, a 121-point edge.

Darren Elkins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Steven Siler enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Darren Elkins finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Steven Siler 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.