Darren Stewart vs Deron Winn
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record7-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
195 lbsWeight185 lbs
The MMA ClinicTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1640 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Darren Stewart is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Deron Winn carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1628
If they lose-13→ 1604
If they win+17→ 1612
If they lose-15→ 1580
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Darren StewartDeron Winn
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Darren Stewart60%
Deron Winn 40%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Darren Stewart a 60% favorite over Deron Winn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Darren Stewart holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1617 to 1595, a 22-point edge.
Darren Stewart finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Deron Winn 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.