Combat Edge Intelligence

Darren Stewart vs Eric Spicely

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Darren Stewart

Darren Stewart

“The Dentist”

16-10-0Light HeavyweightCWFC

1616Solid
Eric Spicely
us

Eric Spicely

“Zebrinha”

13-9-0MiddleweightCES

1537Average

Tale of the tape

16-10-0Record13-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReach73,0"
195 lbsWeight185 lbs
The MMA ClinicTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

Darren Stewart is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Eric Spicely carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Darren StewartNow 1616
If they win+9→ 1625
If they lose-15→ 1601
Eric SpicelyNow 1537
If they win+20→ 1557
If they lose-12→ 1525

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.05
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
46%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.72
49%
Strike defense
56%
1.75
Takedown avg.
1.31
45%
Takedown accuracy
20%
68%
Takedown defense
75%
0.12
Submission avg.
0.98

Trajectory

Darren StewartEric Spicely
155016001650202220232024

Win method breakdown

9 (56%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
1 (6%)
Submission
7 (54%)
6 (38%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Darren Stewart75%
Eric Spicely 25%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Darren Stewart a 75% favorite over Eric Spicely in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Darren Stewart holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1616 to 1537, a 79-point edge.

Darren Stewart finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Eric Spicely 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.