Darren Stewart vs Julian Marquez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record9-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach72"
195 lbsWeight185 lbs
The MMA ClinicTeamFactory X
What's at stake
Darren Stewart is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Julian Marquez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1628
If they lose-13→ 1604
If they win+18→ 1594
If they lose-14→ 1562
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Darren StewartJulian Marquez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Darren Stewart62%
Julian Marquez 38%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Darren Stewart a 62% favorite over Julian Marquez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Darren Stewart holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1617 to 1576, a 41-point edge.
Julian Marquez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Darren Stewart finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Julian Marquez 100%.
Darren Stewart and Julian Marquez share 1 common opponent: Maki Pitolo.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.