Combat Edge Intelligence

Darren Stewart vs Maki Pitolo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Darren Stewart

Darren Stewart

“The Dentist”

16-10-0Light HeavyweightCWFC

1617Solid
Maki Pitolo
us

Maki Pitolo

“Coconut Bombz”

15-12-0Light HeavyweightTUFF

1546Average

Tale of the tape

16-10-0Record15-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReach75"
195 lbsWeight195 lbs
The MMA ClinicTeamWest Oahu MMA

What's at stake

Darren Stewart is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Maki Pitolo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Darren StewartNow 1617
If they win+10→ 1627
If they lose-14→ 1603
Maki PitoloNow 1546
If they win+19→ 1565
If they lose-13→ 1533

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.05
Sig. strikes / min
4.10
46%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.93
49%
Strike defense
55%
1.75
Takedown avg.
2.24
45%
Takedown accuracy
53%
68%
Takedown defense
50%
0.12
Submission avg.
0.75

Trajectory

Darren StewartMaki Pitolo
155016001650202220232024

Win method breakdown

9 (56%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
1 (6%)
Submission
3 (20%)
6 (38%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Darren Stewart66%
Maki Pitolo 34%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Darren Stewart a 66% favorite over Maki Pitolo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Darren Stewart holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1617 to 1546, a 71-point edge.

Maki Pitolo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Darren Stewart finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Maki Pitolo 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.