Darren Stewart vs Maki Pitolo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record15-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReach75"
195 lbsWeight195 lbs
The MMA ClinicTeamWest Oahu MMA
What's at stake
Darren Stewart is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Maki Pitolo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1628
If they lose-14→ 1604
If they win+19→ 1566
If they lose-13→ 1534
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Darren StewartMaki Pitolo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Darren Stewart72%
Maki Pitolo 28%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Darren Stewart a 72% favorite over Maki Pitolo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Darren Stewart holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1618 to 1547, a 71-point edge.
Maki Pitolo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Darren Stewart finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Maki Pitolo 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.