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Combat Edge Intelligence

Darren Till vs Dricus Du Plessis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Darren Till
gb-eng

Darren Till

“The Gorilla”

18-5-1MiddleweightBKFC

1682Good

Tale of the tape

18-5-1Record24-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74"Reach76″
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Astra Fight Team· 1581 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamTeam CIT· 1723 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Dricus Du Plessis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Darren Till carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Darren TillNow 1682
If they win+24→ 1706
If they lose-8→ 1674
Dricus Du PlessisNow 1862
If they win+6→ 1868
If they lose-18→ 1844

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1779 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.30
Sig. strikes / min
5.18
47%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.33
56%
Strike defense
53%
0.55
Takedown avg.
2.22
23%
Takedown accuracy
5%
70%
Takedown defense
35%
0
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Darren TillDricus Du Plessis
1700175018001850202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (56%)
KO/TKO
9 (38%)
2 (11%)
Submission
11 (46%)
6 (33%)
Decision
4 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Dricus Du Plessis76%
Darren Till 24%Elo baseline: 74%

The Combat Edge model makes Dricus Du Plessis a 76% favorite over Darren Till in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).

Dricus Du Plessis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1862 to 1682, a 180-point edge.

Darren Till enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Darren Till finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Dricus Du Plessis 83%.

Darren Till and Dricus Du Plessis share 2 common opponents: Derek Brunson and Robert Whittaker.

Dricus Du Plessis carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2020
Robert Whittaker
WinKO/TKO · 2023
LossSubmission · 2021
Derek Brunson
WinTKO (Corner Stoppage) · 2023