Darren Till vs Dricus Du Plessis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-5-1Record24-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74"Reach76″
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Astra Fight Team· 1594 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamTeam CIT· 1712 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Dricus Du Plessis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Darren Till carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1705
If they lose-9→ 1673
If they win+7→ 1860
If they lose-17→ 1836
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1738 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1779 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Darren TillDricus Du Plessis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dricus Du Plessis92%
Darren Till 8%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Dricus Du Plessis a 92% favorite over Darren Till in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Dricus Du Plessis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1853 to 1682, a 171-point edge.
Darren Till enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Darren Till finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Dricus Du Plessis 83%.
Darren Till and Dricus Du Plessis share 2 common opponents: Derek Brunson and Robert Whittaker.
Dricus Du Plessis carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.