Darren Till vs Jessin Ayari
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-5-1Record16-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74"Reach73,5"
185 lbsWeight155 lbs
Astra Fight Team· 1594 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamHammers Team
What's at stake
Darren Till is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jessin Ayari carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1697
If they lose-17→ 1665
If they win+17→ 1668
If they lose-15→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1738 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Darren TillJessin Ayari
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Darren Till70%
Jessin Ayari 30%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Darren Till a 70% favorite over Jessin Ayari in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Darren Till holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1682 to 1651, a 31-point edge.
Darren Till enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jessin Ayari enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Darren Till finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jessin Ayari 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.