Darren Till vs Jorge Masvidal
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-5-1Record35-17-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
74"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Astra Fight Team· 1594 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Jorge Masvidal is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Darren Till carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1701
If they lose-13→ 1669
If they win+10→ 1750
If they lose-14→ 1726
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1738 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1781 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Darren TillJorge Masvidal
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Darren Till and Jorge Masvidal within a point of even.
Jorge Masvidal holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1740 to 1682, a 58-point edge.
Darren Till enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jorge Masvidal enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Darren Till finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jorge Masvidal 51%.
Darren Till and Jorge Masvidal share 2 common opponents: Stephen Thompson and Donald Cerrone.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.