Darren Till vs Nicolas Dalby
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-5-1Record24-6-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
74"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight171 lbs
Astra Fight Team· 1573 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamRumble Sports
What's at stake
Nicolas Dalby is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Darren Till carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1700
If they lose-14→ 1668
If they win+10→ 1739
If they lose-14→ 1715
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1726 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Darren TillNicolas Dalby
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Darren Till59%
Nicolas Dalby 41%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes Darren Till a 59% favorite over Nicolas Dalby in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nicolas Dalby's way (43%).
Nicolas Dalby holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1729 to 1682, a 47-point edge.
Darren Till enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Darren Till finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Nicolas Dalby 46%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.