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Combat Edge Intelligence

Darren Till vs Tom Breese

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Darren Till
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Darren Till

“The Gorilla”

18-5-1MiddleweightBKFC

1682Good

Tale of the tape

18-5-1Record21-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
74"Reach73.5"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Astra Fight Team· 1573 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamTeam Renegade· 1737 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Darren TillNow 1682
If they win+16→ 1698
If they lose-16→ 1666
Tom BreeseNow 1682
If they win+12→ 1694
If they lose-12→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.30
Sig. strikes / min
3.34
47%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.81
56%
Strike defense
61%
0.55
Takedown avg.
0
23%
Takedown accuracy
0%
70%
Takedown defense
71%
0
Submission avg.
1.07

Trajectory

Darren TillTom Breese
165017001750202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (56%)
KO/TKO
5 (24%)
2 (11%)
Submission
14 (67%)
6 (33%)
Decision
2 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Darren Till60%
Tom Breese 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Darren Till a 60% favorite over Tom Breese in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1682 vs 1682), separated by just 0 points.

Darren Till enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Darren Till finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Tom Breese 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.