Darren Till vs Wendell Oliveira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-5-1Record31-16-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Astra Fight Team· 1594 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamWar Machine
What's at stake
Darren Till is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Wendell Oliveira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1688
If they lose-26→ 1656
If they win+26→ 1460
If they lose-6→ 1428
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1738 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Darren TillWendell Oliveira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Darren Till83%
Wendell Oliveira 17%Elo baseline: 81%
The Combat Edge model makes Darren Till a 83% favorite over Wendell Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (81%).
Darren Till holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1682 to 1434, a 248-point edge.
Darren Till enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Wendell Oliveira enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Darren Till finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Wendell Oliveira 52%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.