Darrick Minner vs Lerryan Douglas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-14-0Record14-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
69"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
Darrick Minner is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Lerryan Douglas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1634
If they lose-13→ 1610
If they win+17→ 1624
If they lose-15→ 1592
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Darrick MinnerLerryan Douglas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lerryan Douglas83%
Darrick Minner 17%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Lerryan Douglas a 83% favorite over Darrick Minner in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Darrick Minner's way (48%).
Darrick Minner holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1623 to 1607, a 16-point edge.
Darrick Minner enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Darrick Minner finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Lerryan Douglas 79%.
Lerryan Douglas carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.