Darryl Cobb vs Marcio Alexandre Junior
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-8-0Record16-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Andre's MMATeamAstra Fight Team
What's at stake
Marcio Alexandre Junior is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Darryl Cobb carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1451
If they lose-14→ 1419
If they win+22→ 1489
If they lose-26→ 1441
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Darryl CobbMarcio Alexandre Junior
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcio Alexandre Junior59%
Darryl Cobb 41%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcio Alexandre Junior a 59% favorite over Darryl Cobb in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Marcio Alexandre Junior holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1467 to 1433, a 34-point edge.
Darryl Cobb enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
Marcio Alexandre Junior enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Darryl Cobb finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Marcio Alexandre Junior 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.