Darya Zheleznyakova vs Holly Holm
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-3-0Record15-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'8"
68"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1673 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Darya ZheleznyakovaHolly Holm
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Darya Zheleznyakova67%
Holly Holm 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Darya Zheleznyakova a 67% favorite over Holly Holm in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1635), separated by just 3 points.
Holly Holm enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Darya Zheleznyakova finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Holly Holm 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.