Combat Edge Intelligence

Darya Zheleznyakova vs Irene Aldana

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record15-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'9"
68"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamLobo Gym MMA· 1703 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Darya ZheleznyakovaNow 1637
If they win+17→ 1654
If they lose-15→ 1622
Irene AldanaNow 1648
If they win+15→ 1663
If they lose-17→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.75
Sig. strikes / min
5.19
42%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.64
69%
Strike defense
56%
0.44
Takedown avg.
0.15
100%
Takedown accuracy
50%
50%
Takedown defense
78%
0
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Darya ZheleznyakovaIrene Aldana
16502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (20%)
5 (50%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Darya Zheleznyakova62%
Irene Aldana 38%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Darya Zheleznyakova a 62% favorite over Irene Aldana in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Irene Aldana's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1648), separated by just 11 points.

Darya Zheleznyakova finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Irene Aldana 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.