Combat Edge Intelligence

Darya Zheleznyakova vs Melissa Croden

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record8-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'10"
68"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamRaven House MMA

What's at stake

Darya Zheleznyakova is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Melissa Croden carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Darya ZheleznyakovaNow 1637
If they win+15→ 1652
If they lose-17→ 1620
Melissa CrodenNow 1622
If they win+17→ 1639
If they lose-15→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.75
Sig. strikes / min
4.27
42%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.13
69%
Strike defense
59%
0.44
Takedown avg.
2.02
100%
Takedown accuracy
17%
50%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0.34

Trajectory

Darya ZheleznyakovaMelissa Croden
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
6 (75%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (13%)
5 (50%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Darya Zheleznyakova56%
Melissa Croden 44%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Darya Zheleznyakova a 56% favorite over Melissa Croden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Darya Zheleznyakova holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1637 to 1622, a 15-point edge.

Darya Zheleznyakova finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Melissa Croden 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.