Darya Zheleznyakova vs Melissa Croden
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record8-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'10"
68"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamRaven House MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Darya ZheleznyakovaMelissa Croden
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Darya Zheleznyakova56%
Melissa Croden 44%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Darya Zheleznyakova a 56% favorite over Melissa Croden in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Melissa Croden's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1622), separated by just 5 points.
Darya Zheleznyakova enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Darya Zheleznyakova finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Melissa Croden 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.