Combat Edge Intelligence

Darya Zheleznyakova vs Melissa Mullins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record7-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
68"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight138 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamLions Gym Coventry

What's at stake

Darya Zheleznyakova is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Melissa Mullins carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Darya ZheleznyakovaNow 1638
If they win+14→ 1652
If they lose-18→ 1620
Melissa MullinsNow 1595
If they win+18→ 1613
If they lose-14→ 1581

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.75
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
42%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.39
69%
Strike defense
53%
0.44
Takedown avg.
2.03
100%
Takedown accuracy
43%
50%
Takedown defense
86%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Darya ZheleznyakovaMelissa Mullins
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (50%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Darya Zheleznyakova60%
Melissa Mullins 40%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Darya Zheleznyakova a 60% favorite over Melissa Mullins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Darya Zheleznyakova holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1638 to 1595, a 43-point edge.

Melissa Mullins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Darya Zheleznyakova finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Melissa Mullins 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.