Combat Edge Intelligence

Dauren Ermekov vs Johnny Walker

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-7-0Record22-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'5"
TBDReach82"
187 lbsWeight206 lbs
TBDTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dauren ErmekovNow 1644
If they win+12→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1632
Johnny WalkerNow 1641
If they win+12→ 1653
If they lose-12→ 1629

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1720 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.90
TBD
Strike accuracy
55%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.99
TBD
Strike defense
46%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.36
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
57%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.73

Trajectory

Dauren ErmekovJohnny Walker
1650202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
17 (77%)
3 (17%)
Submission
3 (14%)
8 (44%)
Decision
2 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Dauren Ermekov72%
Johnny Walker 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dauren Ermekov a 72% favorite over Johnny Walker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1644 vs 1641), separated by just 3 points.

Dauren Ermekov finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Johnny Walker 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.