Combat Edge Intelligence

Dauren Ermekov vs Klidson Abreu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-7-0Record16-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
TBDReach74,0"
187 lbsWeight258 lbs
TeamBrazilian TKO· 1650 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dauren ErmekovNow 1649
If they win+12→ 1661
If they lose-12→ 1637
Klidson AbreuNow 1648
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1629 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.05
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.90
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.64
TBD
Takedown accuracy
20%
TBD
Takedown defense
80%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dauren ErmekovKlidson Abreu
16502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
3 (17%)
Submission
10 (63%)
8 (44%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Dauren Ermekov66%
Klidson Abreu 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dauren Ermekov a 66% favorite over Klidson Abreu in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1648), separated by just 1 points.

Dauren Ermekov finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Klidson Abreu 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.