Combat Edge Intelligence

Dauren Ermekov vs Moustapha Diakhaté

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-7-0Record6-0-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
TBDReach-
187 lbsWeight206 lbs
TeamValon Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dauren ErmekovNow 1649
If they win+12→ 1661
If they lose-12→ 1637
Moustapha DiakhatéNow 1644
If they win+24→ 1668
If they lose-24→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dauren ErmekovMoustapha Diakhaté
15501600165020252026

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
5 (83%)
3 (17%)
Submission
0 (0%)
8 (44%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Moustapha Diakhaté56%
Dauren Ermekov 44%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Moustapha Diakhaté a 56% favorite over Dauren Ermekov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dauren Ermekov's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1644), separated by just 5 points.

Moustapha Diakhaté enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Dauren Ermekov finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Moustapha Diakhaté 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.