AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Dauren Ermekov vs Rodolfo Bellato

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-7-0Record13-4-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
TBDReach77"
187 lbsWeight205 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dauren ErmekovNow 1650
If they win+12→ 1662
If they lose-12→ 1638
Rodolfo BellatoNow 1653
If they win+16→ 1669
If they lose-16→ 1637

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
5.37
Not available
Strike accuracy
60%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.86
Not available
Strike defense
47%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.38
Not available
Takedown accuracy
6%
Not available
Takedown defense
94%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.23

Trajectory

Dauren ErmekovRodolfo Bellato
1650202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
8 (62%)
3 (17%)
Submission
4 (31%)
8 (44%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Rodolfo Bellato51%
Dauren Ermekov 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rodolfo Bellato a 51% favorite over Dauren Ermekov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1653), separated by just 3 points.

Dauren Ermekov finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Rodolfo Bellato 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.