Combat Edge Intelligence

Dave Beneteau vs Patrick Vespaziani

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-5-1Record6-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'7"
TBDReach79"
250 lbsWeight242 lbs
TBDTeamMMA Spirit

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dave BeneteauNow 1539
If they win+16→ 1555
If they lose-16→ 1523
Patrick VespazianiNow 1532
If they win+16→ 1548
If they lose-16→ 1516

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dave BeneteauPatrick Vespaziani
1550160020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
6 (100%)
2 (33%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (17%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Patrick Vespaziani57%
Dave Beneteau 43%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Vespaziani a 57% favorite over Dave Beneteau in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dave Beneteau's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1539 vs 1532), separated by just 7 points.

Patrick Vespaziani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dave Beneteau finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Vespaziani 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.