Dave Herman vs Hidetaka Arato
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
22-6-0Record12-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionSuper Heavyweight
6'4"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
223 lbsWeight279 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dave HermanHidetaka Arato
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dave Herman58%
Hidetaka Arato 42%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Dave Herman a 58% favorite over Hidetaka Arato in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hidetaka Arato's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1612), separated by just 4 points.
Dave Herman finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Hidetaka Arato 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.