Combat Edge Intelligence

Dave Herman vs John-Olav Einemo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-6-0Record6-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'6"
TBDReachTBD
223 lbsWeight251 lbs
Team QuestTeamGolden Glory

What's at stake

Dave Herman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — John-Olav Einemo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dave HermanNow 1609
If they win+13→ 1622
If they lose-19→ 1590
John-Olav EinemoNow 1549
If they win+28→ 1577
If they lose-20→ 1529

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.98
Sig. strikes / min
2.15
61%
Strike accuracy
53%
3.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
49%
Strike defense
52%
1.49
Takedown avg.
1.73
100%
Takedown accuracy
56%
58%
Takedown defense
44%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dave HermanJohn-Olav Einemo
155016001650201220132014

Win method breakdown

17 (77%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
3 (14%)
Submission
4 (67%)
2 (9%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Dave Herman60%
John-Olav Einemo 40%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Dave Herman a 60% favorite over John-Olav Einemo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Dave Herman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1609 to 1549, a 60-point edge.

Dave Herman finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, John-Olav Einemo 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.