Combat Edge Intelligence

Dave Herman vs Jose Augusto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-6-0Record9-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
223 lbsWeight263 lbs
Team QuestTeamPitbull Brothers· 1624 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dave HermanNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
Jose AugustoNow 1608
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.98
Sig. strikes / min
0
61%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
49%
Strike defense
TBD
1.49
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
58%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dave HermanJose Augusto
1600165020122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

17 (77%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
3 (14%)
Submission
2 (22%)
2 (9%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Jose Augusto60%
Dave Herman 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jose Augusto a 60% favorite over Dave Herman in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dave Herman's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1608), separated by just 1 points.

Dave Herman finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Jose Augusto 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.