Dave Herman vs Stefan Struve
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-6-0Record29-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height7'0"
TBDReach84,5"
223 lbsWeight265 lbs
Team QuestTeamTeam Schrijber
What's at stake
Stefan Struve is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Dave Herman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1628
If they lose-13→ 1596
If they win+10→ 1674
If they lose-14→ 1650
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1696 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dave HermanStefan Struve
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Stefan Struve60%
Dave Herman 40%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Stefan Struve a 60% favorite over Dave Herman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Stefan Struve holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1664 to 1609, a 55-point edge.
Stefan Struve enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dave Herman finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Stefan Struve 93%.
Dave Herman and Stefan Struve share 1 common opponent: Antônio Rodrigo Nogueira.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.