Dave Kaplan vs Dionnis Romero
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-4-0Record0-2-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight163 lbs
Team TompkinsTeamMettle MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1477
If they lose-24→ 1429
If they win+24→ 1473
If they lose-24→ 1425
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1518 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dave KaplanDionnis Romero
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dionnis Romero63%
Dave Kaplan 37%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Dionnis Romero a 63% favorite over Dave Kaplan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dave Kaplan's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1453 vs 1449), separated by just 4 points.
Dionnis Romero enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dave Kaplan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.