Dave Kaplan vs George Roop
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-4-0Record15-13-1
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team TompkinsTeamApex MMA
What's at stake
George Roop is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Dave Kaplan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+29→ 1482
If they lose-19→ 1434
If they win+9→ 1542
If they lose-15→ 1518
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1518 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dave KaplanGeorge Roop
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
George Roop60%
Dave Kaplan 40%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes George Roop a 60% favorite over Dave Kaplan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
George Roop holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1533 to 1453, a 80-point edge.
George Roop enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Dave Kaplan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, George Roop 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.