Dave Kaplan vs Junie Browning
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-4-0Record5-6-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team TompkinsTeamLegends MMA
What's at stake
Junie Browning is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +18 while a loss costs more — Dave Kaplan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+30→ 1483
If they lose-18→ 1435
If they win+18→ 1559
If they lose-30→ 1511
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1518 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dave KaplanJunie Browning
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Junie Browning66%
Dave Kaplan 34%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Junie Browning a 66% favorite over Dave Kaplan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Junie Browning holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1541 to 1453, a 88-point edge.
Dave Kaplan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Junie Browning 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.