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Combat Edge Intelligence

Dave Lehr Cochran vs Oseas Cruz Furtado

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

26-29-1Record5-11-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

Dave Lehr Cochran is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Oseas Cruz Furtado carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dave Lehr CochranNow 1348
If they win+11→ 1359
If they lose-13→ 1335
Oseas Cruz FurtadoNow 1321
If they win+26→ 1347
If they lose-21→ 1300

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Dave Lehr CochranOseas Cruz Furtado
13501400145020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (28%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
16 (64%)
Submission
2 (40%)
2 (8%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Dave Lehr Cochran52%
Oseas Cruz Furtado 48%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Dave Lehr Cochran a 52% favorite over Oseas Cruz Furtado in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Dave Lehr Cochran holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1348 to 1321, a 27-point edge.

Dave Lehr Cochran enters on a 8-fight loss streak.

Oseas Cruz Furtado enters on a 8-fight loss streak.

Dave Lehr Cochran finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Oseas Cruz Furtado 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.