Dave Menne vs Ernesto Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
45-17-2Record11-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReach73"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Menne Combat AcademyTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1677
If they lose-12→ 1653
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dave MenneErnesto Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ernesto Rodriguez67%
Dave Menne 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ernesto Rodriguez a 67% favorite over Dave Menne in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dave Menne's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1665), separated by just 0 points.
Dave Menne finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Ernesto Rodriguez 36%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.