Dave Menne vs Josh Koscheck
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
45-17-2Record17-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach73"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Menne Combat AcademyTeamDethrone Base Camp
What's at stake
Dave Menne is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Josh Koscheck carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1676
If they lose-13→ 1652
If they win+13→ 1657
If they lose-11→ 1633
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1687 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dave MenneJosh Koscheck
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Koscheck56%
Dave Menne 44%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Koscheck a 56% favorite over Dave Menne in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dave Menne's way (47%).
Dave Menne holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1665 to 1644, a 21-point edge.
Josh Koscheck enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Dave Menne finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Josh Koscheck 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.