Combat Edge Intelligence

Dave Strasser vs Karo Parisyan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-8-4Record24-12-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
167 lbsWeight169 lbs
Freestyle AcademyTeam

What's at stake

Dave Strasser is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Karo Parisyan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dave StrasserNow 1611
If they win+11→ 1622
If they lose-13→ 1598
Karo ParisyanNow 1576
If they win+13→ 1589
If they lose-11→ 1565

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.29
Sig. strikes / min
2.49
46%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.19
59%
Strike defense
58%
0.80
Takedown avg.
5.27
33%
Takedown accuracy
60%
33%
Takedown defense
60%
0
Submission avg.
0.99

Trajectory

Dave StrasserKaro Parisyan
1600165020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017

Win method breakdown

10 (40%)
KO/TKO
3 (13%)
9 (36%)
Submission
11 (46%)
6 (24%)
Decision
10 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Dave Strasser and Karo Parisyan within a point of even.

Dave Strasser holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1611 to 1576, a 35-point edge.

Karo Parisyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dave Strasser finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Karo Parisyan 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.