Davey Grant vs Rafael do Nascimento
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-8-0Record13-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'4"
69"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamX-Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1692 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Davey GrantRafael do Nascimento
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Davey Grant57%
Rafael do Nascimento 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Davey Grant a 57% favorite over Rafael do Nascimento in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1666), separated by just 0 points.
Rafael do Nascimento enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Davey Grant finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Rafael do Nascimento 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.