Davi Bittencourt vs Devon Lozej
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-4-0Record9-3-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'8"
65" Reach69"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Josue Fight Boxing SchoolTeamLeading Edge MMA
What's at stake
Davi Bittencourt is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Devon Lozej carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1698
If they lose-19→ 1666
If they win+19→ 1627
If they lose-13→ 1595
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Davi BittencourtDevon Lozej
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Davi Bittencourt55%
Devon Lozej 45%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Davi Bittencourt a 55% favorite over Devon Lozej in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Davi Bittencourt holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1608, a 77-point edge.
Davi Bittencourt enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Davi Bittencourt finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Devon Lozej 67%.
Davi Bittencourt and Devon Lozej share 2 common opponents: Eduardo Chapolin and Eduardo Henrique.
Devon Lozej carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (2)
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2022
LossKO (Punch) · 2025