Combat Edge Intelligence

Davi Ramos vs Islam Makhachev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Davi Ramos
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Davi Ramos

“The Tasmanian Devil”

12-6-0LightweightACA

1636Solid

Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record28-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
70,0"Reach70"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamEagles MMA

What's at stake

Islam Makhachev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — Davi Ramos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Davi RamosNow 1636
If they win+27→ 1663
If they lose-5→ 1631
Islam MakhachevNow 1922
If they win+4→ 1926
If they lose-20→ 1902

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1785 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.64
Sig. strikes / min
2.45
38%
Strike accuracy
58%
3.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.45
56%
Strike defense
62%
1.95
Takedown avg.
3.10
40%
Takedown accuracy
56%
83%
Takedown defense
91%
0.58
Submission avg.
0.98

Trajectory

Davi RamosIslam Makhachev
170018001900202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
5 (18%)
7 (58%)
Submission
13 (46%)
3 (25%)
Decision
10 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Islam Makhachev92%
Davi Ramos 8%Elo baseline: 84%

The Combat Edge model makes Islam Makhachev a 92% favorite over Davi Ramos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (84%).

Islam Makhachev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1922 to 1636, a 286-point edge.

Islam Makhachev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Davi Ramos finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Islam Makhachev 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.