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Combat Edge Intelligence

Davi Ramos vs Jonatas Novaes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Davi Ramos
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Davi Ramos

“The Tasmanian Devil”

12-6-0LightweightACA

1610Solid

Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record13-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
70,0"ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamNovaes BJJ Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Davi RamosNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Jonatas NovaesNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.64
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
38%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
56%
Strike defense
Not available
1.95
Takedown avg.
Not available
40%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
83%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.58
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Davi RamosJonatas Novaes
160016502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
7 (58%)
Submission
8 (62%)
3 (25%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Davi Ramos73%
Jonatas Novaes 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Davi Ramos a 73% favorite over Jonatas Novaes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1609), separated by just 1 points.

Davi Ramos enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Jonatas Novaes enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Davi Ramos finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Jonatas Novaes 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.