Combat Edge Intelligence

Davi Santos vs Felipe Bunes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record14-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
-Reach69"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team FrotaTeamPitbull Brothers

What's at stake

Davi Santos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Felipe Bunes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Davi SantosNow 1571
If they win+23→ 1594
If they lose-25→ 1546
Felipe BunesNow 1555
If they win+17→ 1572
If they lose-15→ 1540

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.93
TBD
Strike accuracy
51%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.66
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.13
TBD
Takedown accuracy
22%
TBD
Takedown defense
40%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.26

Trajectory

Davi SantosFelipe Bunes
1550160020252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
2 (15%)
1 (14%)
Submission
9 (69%)
3 (43%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Davi Santos56%
Felipe Bunes 44%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Davi Santos a 56% favorite over Felipe Bunes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Davi Santos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1571 to 1555, a 16-point edge.

Felipe Bunes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Davi Santos finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Felipe Bunes 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.