Combat Edge Intelligence

Davi Santos vs Jordan Espinosa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record15-10-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
-Reach38,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team FrotaTeamLuttrell-Yee MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Davi SantosNow 1571
If they win+24→ 1595
If they lose-24→ 1547
Jordan EspinosaNow 1572
If they win+12→ 1584
If they lose-12→ 1560

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.22
TBD
Strike accuracy
53%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.94
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.75
TBD
Takedown accuracy
29%
TBD
Takedown defense
71%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Davi SantosJordan Espinosa
155016002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
1 (14%)
Submission
7 (47%)
3 (43%)
Decision
6 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Davi Santos66%
Jordan Espinosa 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Davi Santos a 66% favorite over Jordan Espinosa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jordan Espinosa's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1571 vs 1572), separated by just 1 points.

Jordan Espinosa enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Davi Santos finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Espinosa 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.