Combat Edge Intelligence

Davi Santos vs Phil Harris

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record22-12-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
-ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team FrotaTeamGym01

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Davi SantosNow 1576
If they win+24→ 1600
If they lose-24→ 1552
Phil HarrisNow 1579
If they win+12→ 1591
If they lose-12→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.34
TBD
Strike accuracy
27%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.16
TBD
Strike defense
68%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.76
TBD
Takedown accuracy
22%
TBD
Takedown defense
60%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Davi SantosPhil Harris
1550160020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
4 (18%)
1 (14%)
Submission
13 (59%)
3 (43%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Davi Santos63%
Phil Harris 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Davi Santos a 63% favorite over Phil Harris in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Phil Harris's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1579), separated by just 3 points.

Phil Harris enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Davi Santos finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Phil Harris 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.