Combat Edge Intelligence

Davi Santos vs Richie Vaculik

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record10-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
-Reach41,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team FrotaTeamTP Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Davi SantosNow 1571
If they win+24→ 1595
If they lose-24→ 1547
Richie VaculikNow 1577
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.69
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.09
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3
TBD
Takedown accuracy
45%
TBD
Takedown defense
32%
TBD
Submission avg.
1

Trajectory

Davi SantosRichie Vaculik
15501600201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
1 (14%)
Submission
6 (60%)
3 (43%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Davi Santos70%
Richie Vaculik 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Davi Santos a 70% favorite over Richie Vaculik in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Richie Vaculik's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1571 vs 1577), separated by just 6 points.

Richie Vaculik enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Davi Santos finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Richie Vaculik 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.