Combat Edge Intelligence

David Allen vs Drew Dimanlig

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-2-0Record3-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight174 lbs
Roker Rough House MMATeamNor Cal Fight Factory

What's at stake

David Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Drew Dimanlig carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

David AllenNow 1469
If they win+22→ 1491
If they lose-26→ 1443
Drew DimanligNow 1445
If they win+26→ 1471
If they lose-22→ 1423

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

David AllenDrew Dimanlig
14501500155020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

David Allen66%
Drew Dimanlig 34%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes David Allen a 66% favorite over Drew Dimanlig in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

David Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1469 to 1445, a 24-point edge.

David Allen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Drew Dimanlig enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Drew Dimanlig 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.