David Allen vs Fabio Nascimento
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-2-0Record11-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'10"
-Reach--
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Roker Rough House MMATeamTeam Oyama· 1643 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1492
If they lose-25→ 1444
If they win+25→ 1483
If they lose-23→ 1435
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1499 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
David AllenFabio Nascimento
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
David Allen57%
Fabio Nascimento 43%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes David Allen a 57% favorite over Fabio Nascimento in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1469 vs 1458), separated by just 11 points.
David Allen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Fabio Nascimento enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Fabio Nascimento 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.