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Combat Edge Intelligence

David Allen vs Joe Gigliotti

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-2-0Record7-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
-Reach39.00
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David AllenNow 1469
If they win+24→ 1493
If they lose-24→ 1445
Joe GigliottiNow 1471
If they win+24→ 1495
If they lose-24→ 1447

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.04
Not available
Strike accuracy
39%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.92
Not available
Strike defense
46%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.56
Not available
Takedown accuracy
100%
Not available
Takedown defense
50%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.78

Trajectory

David AllenJoe Gigliotti
145015002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (57%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Gigliotti53%
David Allen 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Gigliotti a 53% favorite over David Allen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1469 vs 1471), separated by just 2 points.

David Allen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joe Gigliotti enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joe Gigliotti 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.