Combat Edge Intelligence

David Allen vs Keith Mielke

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-2-0Record0-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Roker Rough House MMATeam

What's at stake

David Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Keith Mielke carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

David AllenNow 1469
If they win+20→ 1489
If they lose-28→ 1441
Keith MielkeNow 1410
If they win+28→ 1438
If they lose-20→ 1390

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

David AllenKeith Mielke
140014501500200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

David Allen70%
Keith Mielke 30%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes David Allen a 70% favorite over Keith Mielke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

David Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1469 to 1410, a 59-point edge.

David Allen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Keith Mielke enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.