David Allen vs Keith Mielke
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
2-2-0Record0-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
David Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Keith Mielke carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1489
If they lose-28→ 1441
If they win+28→ 1438
If they lose-20→ 1390
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1499 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
David AllenKeith Mielke
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
David Allen57%
Keith Mielke 43%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes David Allen a 57% favorite over Keith Mielke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
David Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1469 to 1410, a 59-point edge.
David Allen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Keith Mielke enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.