Combat Edge Intelligence

David Allen vs Kyosuke Sasaki

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-2-0Record3-7-4
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight183 lbs
Roker Rough House MMATeamU-File Camp

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David AllenNow 1469
If they win+23→ 1492
If they lose-25→ 1444
Kyosuke SasakiNow 1457
If they win+17→ 1474
If they lose-15→ 1442

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

David AllenKyosuke Sasaki
1450150020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (67%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

David Allen75%
Kyosuke Sasaki 25%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes David Allen a 75% favorite over Kyosuke Sasaki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1469 vs 1457), separated by just 12 points.

David Allen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kyosuke Sasaki 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.