Combat Edge Intelligence

David Allen vs Marcio Alexandre Junior

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-2-0Record16-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Roker Rough House MMATeamAstra Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David AllenNow 1469
If they win+24→ 1493
If they lose-24→ 1445
Marcio Alexandre JuniorNow 1467
If they win+24→ 1491
If they lose-24→ 1443

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

David AllenMarcio Alexandre Junior
1450150020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
9 (56%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (31%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

David Allen75%
Marcio Alexandre Junior 25%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes David Allen a 75% favorite over Marcio Alexandre Junior in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1469 vs 1467), separated by just 2 points.

David Allen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marcio Alexandre Junior enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marcio Alexandre Junior 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.