Combat Edge Intelligence

David Allen vs Marcus Hicks

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marcus Hicks
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Marcus Hicks

“The Loudmouth Assassin”

19-26-0MiddleweightRITC

1462Average

Tale of the tape

2-2-0Record19-26-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Roker Rough House MMATeamBlack Sheep MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David AllenNow 1469
If they win+24→ 1493
If they lose-24→ 1445
Marcus HicksNow 1462
If they win+12→ 1474
If they lose-12→ 1450

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1480 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.42
TBD
Strike accuracy
43%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.06
TBD
Strike defense
62%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.70
TBD
Takedown accuracy
53%
TBD
Takedown defense
25%
TBD
Submission avg.
4.05

Trajectory

David AllenMarcus Hicks
145015002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
8 (42%)
0 (0%)
Submission
11 (58%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

David Allen72%
Marcus Hicks 28%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes David Allen a 72% favorite over Marcus Hicks in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1469 vs 1462), separated by just 7 points.

David Allen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marcus Hicks enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marcus Hicks 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.